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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Fri 28 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

39%

Metz

2.55

27%

Draw

3.74

34%

Rennes

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Metz xG

Total xG

2.53

1.21

Rennes xG

39%
27%
34%
MetzDrawRennes

2.55

39%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

30%

Metz

3.36

27%

Rennes

3.75

Win to Nil

12%

Metz

8.56

9%

Rennes

11.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.6 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.5 12.7 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.9 8.4 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.1 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.321
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.532
League avg home goals 1.665
League avg away goals 1.221
Metz attack strength 0.745
Metz defence strength 0.965
Rennes attack strength 1.028
Rennes defence strength 1.065
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 47