Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Relegation Round

Kick-off

Wed 21 May 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

45%

Metz

2.24

29%

Draw

3.39

26%

Reims

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Metz xG

Total xG

2.22

0.92

Reims xG

45%
29%
26%
MetzDrawReims

2.24

45%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

40%

Metz

2.51

27%

Reims

3.67

Win to Nil

18%

Metz

5.61

7%

Reims

14.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 10.0 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.1 13.0 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 8.4 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.0 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.299
λ Away (xG) 0.919
Total xG 2.218
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.377
Metz attack strength 0.999
Metz defence strength 1.009
Reims attack strength 0.662
Reims defence strength 0.841
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 68