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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 13 Dec 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

22%

Metz

4.64

27%

Draw

3.72

52%

Paris Saint Germain

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 2

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Metz xG

Total xG

2.26

1.44

Paris Saint Germain xG

22%
27%
52%
MetzDrawParis Saint Germain

4.64

22%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

1.94

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

24%

Metz

4.22

44%

Paris Saint Germain

2.28

Win to Nil

5%

Metz

19.60

23%

Paris Saint Germain

4.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 15.0 10.8 5.2 1.9 0.5
1 8.6 12.3 8.9 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 3.5 5.1 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.825
λ Away (xG) 1.440
Total xG 2.265
League avg home goals 1.656
League avg away goals 1.127
Metz attack strength 0.646
Metz defence strength 0.997
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.281
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.772
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49