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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

36%

Metz

2.81

28%

Draw

3.63

37%

Nice

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Metz xG

Total xG

2.41

1.22

Nice xG

36%
28%
37%
MetzDrawNice

2.81

36%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

30%

Metz

3.38

30%

Nice

3.29

Win to Nil

11%

Metz

9.52

11%

Nice

8.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 10.9 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.7 13.0 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.192
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 2.411
League avg home goals 1.629
League avg away goals 1.204
Metz attack strength 0.665
Metz defence strength 0.988
Nice attack strength 1.024
Nice defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 45