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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

32%

Metz

3.10

25%

Draw

4.05

43%

Nantes

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Metz xG

Total xG

2.87

1.56

Nantes xG

32%
25%
43%
MetzDrawNantes

3.10

32%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

21%

Metz

4.74

27%

Nantes

3.72

Win to Nil

7%

Metz

14.72

12%

Nantes

8.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.8 6.9 3.6 1.4 0.4
1 7.4 11.6 9.0 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.9 7.6 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 2.1 3.3 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.315
λ Away (xG) 1.557
Total xG 2.872
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.217
Metz attack strength 0.819
Metz defence strength 1.495
Nantes attack strength 0.856
Nantes defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 60