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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

21%

Metz

4.72

24%

Draw

4.21

55%

Monaco

1.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

0 – 2

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Metz xG

Total xG

3.24

2.03

Monaco xG

21%
24%
55%
MetzDrawMonaco

4.72

21%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

1.82

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

13%

Metz

7.58

30%

Monaco

3.35

Win to Nil

3%

Metz

35.79

16%

Monaco

6.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 8.0 8.1 5.4 2.8 1.1
1 4.8 9.6 9.8 6.6 3.3 1.4
2 2.9 5.8 5.9 4.0 2.0 0.8
3 1.2 2.4 2.4 1.6 0.8 0.3
4 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.210
λ Away (xG) 2.026
Total xG 3.236
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.306
Metz attack strength 0.749
Metz defence strength 1.424
Monaco attack strength 1.089
Monaco defence strength 1.088
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65