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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

27%

Metz

3.68

28%

Draw

3.51

44%

Lorient

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Metz xG

Total xG

2.70

1.53

Lorient xG

27%
28%
44%
MetzDrawLorient

3.68

27%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

22%

Metz

4.64

31%

Lorient

3.19

Win to Nil

6%

Metz

17.04

14%

Lorient

7.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 10.4 7.9 4.1 1.6 0.5
1 7.8 12.0 9.2 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.6 7.0 5.4 2.7 1.1 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.161
λ Away (xG) 1.534
Total xG 2.695
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.292
Metz attack strength 0.731
Metz defence strength 1.425
Lorient attack strength 0.833
Lorient defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 32