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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Wed 29 Oct 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

20%

Metz

5.01

29%

Draw

3.48

51%

Lens

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

17.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.70

Metz xG

Total xG

2.02

1.31

Lens xG

20%
29%
51%
MetzDrawLens

5.01

20%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.71

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

27%

Metz

3.72

50%

Lens

2.02

Win to Nil

5%

Metz

18.65

25%

Lens

3.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 17.5 11.5 5.0 1.7 0.4
1 9.3 12.3 8.1 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 3.3 4.3 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1
3 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.702
λ Away (xG) 1.314
Total xG 2.016
League avg home goals 1.713
League avg away goals 1.279
Metz attack strength 0.512
Metz defence strength 1.112
Lens attack strength 0.924
Lens defence strength 0.801
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 43