Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

16:00

Venue

Orange Vélodrome

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

70%

Marseille

1.43

15%

Draw

6.52

15%

Stade Brestois 29

6.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.9%

Home win

2 – 0

6.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.92

Marseille xG

Total xG

4.25

1.33

Stade Brestois 29 xG

70%
15%
15%
MarseilleDrawStade Brestois 29

1.43

70%

Home win

6.52

15%

Draw

6.80

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

61%

Over 3.5

1.64

39%

Under 3.5

2.56

42%

Over 4.5

2.38

58%

Under 4.5

1.72

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.44

30%

BTTS No

3.29

Clean Sheet

26%

Marseille

3.78

5%

Stade Brestois 29

18.54

Win to Nil

19%

Marseille

5.40

1%

Stade Brestois 29

126.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2
1 4.2 5.5 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
2 6.1 8.1 5.4 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.9 7.9 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 4.3 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 2.5 3.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.920
λ Away (xG) 1.329
Total xG 4.249
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.196
Marseille attack strength 1.660
Marseille defence strength 1.108
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.003
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45