Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Orange Vélodrome

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

42%

Marseille

2.38

23%

Draw

4.43

35%

Rennes

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

7.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

7.9%

Home win

2 – 2

7.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Marseille xG

Total xG

3.85

1.84

Rennes xG

42%
23%
35%
MarseilleDrawRennes

2.38

42%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

34%

Over 4.5

2.94

66%

Under 4.5

1.52

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.36

26%

BTTS No

3.78

Clean Sheet

16%

Marseille

6.29

13%

Rennes

7.45

Win to Nil

7%

Marseille

14.97

5%

Rennes

21.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.9 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4
1 4.3 7.9 7.2 4.4 2.0 0.8
2 4.3 7.9 7.3 4.5 2.1 0.8
3 2.9 5.3 4.9 3.0 1.4 0.5
4 1.4 2.7 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.3
5 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.008
λ Away (xG) 1.839
Total xG 3.847
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Marseille attack strength 1.174
Marseille defence strength 0.989
Rennes attack strength 1.431
Rennes defence strength 1.162
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67