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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
51%
1.96
21%
4.66
27%
3.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.2%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.1%
Draw
2 – 2
6.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.03
Marseille xG
Total xG
3.47
1.44
Lyon xG
MarseilleDrawLyon
1.96
51%
Home win
4.66
21%
Draw
3.65
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
46%
Over 3.5
2.17
54%
Under 3.5
1.85
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.51
34%
BTTS No
2.97
Clean Sheet
24%
4.24
13%
7.58
Win to Nil
12%
8.29
4%
27.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 9.1 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 9.2 | 6.7 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.026
λ Away (xG)
1.444
Total xG
3.470
League avg home goals
1.482
League avg away goals
1.172
Marseille attack strength
1.341
Marseille defence strength
1.044
Lyon attack strength
1.180
Lyon defence strength
1.020
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 57