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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Marseille Win
70%
1.43
17%
5.98
14%
7.41
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
9.0%
Home win
3 – 1
7.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.54
Marseille xG
Total xG
3.58
1.04
Lorient xG
MarseilleDrawLorient
1.43
70%
Home win
5.98
17%
Draw
7.41
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
87%
Over 1.5
1.15
13%
Under 1.5
7.69
69%
Over 2.5
1.45
31%
Under 2.5
3.23
48%
Over 3.5
2.08
52%
Under 3.5
1.92
29%
Over 4.5
3.45
71%
Under 4.5
1.41
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.68
40%
BTTS No
2.48
Clean Sheet
35%
2.84
8%
12.69
Win to Nil
25%
4.07
1%
94.02
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.0 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.6 | 7.9 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.541
λ Away (xG)
1.044
Total xG
3.585
League avg home goals
1.647
League avg away goals
1.294
Marseille attack strength
1.448
Marseille defence strength
1.116
Lorient attack strength
0.723
Lorient defence strength
1.065
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
37 / 3