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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 26 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

45%

Lyon

2.20

23%

Draw

4.27

31%

Strasbourg

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Lyon xG

Total xG

3.12

1.39

Strasbourg xG

45%
23%
31%
LyonDrawStrasbourg

2.20

45%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.62

Clean Sheet

25%

Lyon

4.03

18%

Strasbourg

5.62

Win to Nil

11%

Lyon

8.85

6%

Strasbourg

18.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 6.2 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.6 10.6 7.4 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.2 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 3.8 5.3 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 1.393
Total xG 3.120
League avg home goals 1.710
League avg away goals 1.284
Lyon attack strength 0.932
Lyon defence strength 0.844
Strasbourg attack strength 1.286
Strasbourg defence strength 1.084
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42