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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Groupama Stadium

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

51%

Lyon

1.98

28%

Draw

3.62

22%

Stade Brestois 29

4.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.70

1.03

Stade Brestois 29 xG

51%
28%
22%
LyonDrawStade Brestois 29

1.98

51%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

4.58

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

36%

Lyon

2.81

19%

Stade Brestois 29

5.28

Win to Nil

18%

Lyon

5.55

4%

Stade Brestois 29

24.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 7.0 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.2 11.6 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.6 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.2 5.3 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.664
λ Away (xG) 1.032
Total xG 2.696
League avg home goals 1.600
League avg away goals 1.373
Lyon attack strength 1.153
Lyon defence strength 0.884
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.850
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.902
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57