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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

20:05

Venue

Groupama Stadium

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

42%

Lyon

2.36

23%

Draw

4.42

35%

Rennes

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Lyon xG

Total xG

3.38

1.60

Rennes xG

42%
23%
35%
LyonDrawRennes

2.36

42%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

20%

Lyon

4.97

17%

Rennes

5.93

Win to Nil

9%

Lyon

11.73

6%

Rennes

16.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 5.4 4.4 2.3 0.9 0.3
1 6.0 9.7 7.8 4.1 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.6 6.9 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.2 5.1 4.1 2.2 0.9 0.3
4 1.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.780
λ Away (xG) 1.603
Total xG 3.383
League avg home goals 1.488
League avg away goals 1.425
Lyon attack strength 1.301
Lyon defence strength 0.901
Rennes attack strength 1.248
Rennes defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64