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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

53%

Lyon

1.89

27%

Draw

3.72

20%

Lorient

4.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.44

0.87

Lorient xG

53%
27%
20%
LyonDrawLorient

1.89

53%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

4.93

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

42%

Lyon

2.39

21%

Lorient

4.77

Win to Nil

22%

Lyon

4.53

4%

Lorient

23.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 7.6 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 13.7 11.9 5.2 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.7 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.6 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.563
λ Away (xG) 0.873
Total xG 2.436
League avg home goals 1.462
League avg away goals 1.211
Lyon attack strength 1.006
Lyon defence strength 0.869
Lorient attack strength 0.829
Lorient defence strength 1.063
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 28