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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lyon Win
53%
1.88
23%
4.34
24%
4.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.3%
Draw
2 – 0
7.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.05
Lyon xG
Total xG
3.38
1.33
Lens xG
LyonDrawLens
1.88
53%
Home win
4.34
23%
Draw
4.20
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
65%
BTTS Yes
1.54
35%
BTTS No
2.86
Clean Sheet
26%
3.79
13%
7.77
Win to Nil
14%
7.13
3%
32.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.050
λ Away (xG)
1.332
Total xG
3.382
League avg home goals
1.471
League avg away goals
1.300
Lyon attack strength
1.273
Lyon defence strength
0.898
Lens attack strength
1.141
Lens defence strength
1.095
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67