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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

39%

Lorient

2.54

24%

Draw

4.15

36%

Toulouse

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.04

1.48

Toulouse xG

39%
24%
36%
LorientDrawToulouse

2.54

39%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

23%

Lorient

4.41

21%

Toulouse

4.72

Win to Nil

9%

Lorient

11.19

8%

Toulouse

12.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 7.1 5.3 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 7.5 11.1 8.2 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.8 8.6 6.4 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.0 4.4 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.552
λ Away (xG) 1.484
Total xG 3.036
League avg home goals 1.636
League avg away goals 1.210
Lorient attack strength 1.156
Lorient defence strength 1.379
Toulouse attack strength 0.890
Toulouse defence strength 0.821
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 45