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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 26 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

42%

Lorient

2.37

27%

Draw

3.72

31%

Strasbourg

3.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.00

1.37

Strasbourg xG

42%
27%
31%
LorientDrawStrasbourg

2.37

42%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.24

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

25%

Lorient

3.93

20%

Strasbourg

5.10

Win to Nil

11%

Lorient

9.30

6%

Strasbourg

16.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.8 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.1 11.1 7.6 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 9.1 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.6 4.9 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.629
λ Away (xG) 1.369
Total xG 2.998
League avg home goals 1.464
League avg away goals 1.268
Lorient attack strength 1.055
Lorient defence strength 0.944
Strasbourg attack strength 1.143
Strasbourg defence strength 1.054
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 63