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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

45%

Lorient

2.23

22%

Draw

4.65

34%

Stade Brestois 29

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.67

1.70

Stade Brestois 29 xG

45%
22%
34%
LorientDrawStade Brestois 29

2.23

45%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.42

30%

BTTS No

3.37

Clean Sheet

18%

Lorient

5.45

14%

Stade Brestois 29

7.21

Win to Nil

8%

Lorient

12.16

5%

Stade Brestois 29

21.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 4.3 3.7 2.1 0.9 0.3
1 5.0 8.5 7.2 4.1 1.7 0.6
2 5.0 8.4 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 3.3 5.5 4.7 2.7 1.1 0.4
4 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.975
λ Away (xG) 1.696
Total xG 3.671
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.255
Lorient attack strength 1.109
Lorient defence strength 1.400
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.965
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.047
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 41