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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

34%

Lorient

2.97

24%

Draw

4.14

42%

Rennes

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

0 – 1

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.00

1.60

Rennes xG

34%
24%
42%
LorientDrawRennes

2.97

34%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

20%

Lorient

4.94

25%

Rennes

4.07

Win to Nil

7%

Lorient

14.66

10%

Rennes

9.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.9 6.3 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 7.0 11.2 8.9 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 7.8 6.3 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.3 3.7 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.404
λ Away (xG) 1.597
Total xG 3.001
League avg home goals 1.520
League avg away goals 1.219
Lorient attack strength 0.862
Lorient defence strength 1.150
Rennes attack strength 1.139
Rennes defence strength 1.071
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 35