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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

44%

Lorient

2.26

27%

Draw

3.69

29%

Paris FC

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.42

1.05

Paris FC xG

44%
27%
29%
LorientDrawParis FC

2.26

44%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

35%

Lorient

2.85

25%

Paris FC

3.94

Win to Nil

16%

Lorient

6.43

7%

Paris FC

13.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.3 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.8 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.8 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.370
λ Away (xG) 1.046
Total xG 2.416
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.217
Lorient attack strength 1.083
Lorient defence strength 1.083
Paris FC attack strength 0.793
Paris FC defence strength 0.861
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 27