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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 31 Jan 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

41%

Lorient

2.41

26%

Draw

3.89

33%

Nantes

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.70

1.26

Nantes xG

41%
26%
33%
LorientDrawNantes

2.41

41%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

28%

Lorient

3.51

24%

Nantes

4.24

Win to Nil

12%

Lorient

8.47

8%

Nantes

12.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.7 12.2 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.2 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.444
λ Away (xG) 1.256
Total xG 2.700
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 1.307
Lorient attack strength 0.963
Lorient defence strength 1.066
Nantes attack strength 0.902
Nantes defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 53