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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

32%

Lorient

3.11

22%

Draw

4.52

46%

Monaco

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.46

1.90

Monaco xG

32%
22%
46%
LorientDrawMonaco

3.11

32%

Home win

4.52

22%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.05

Clean Sheet

15%

Lorient

6.66

21%

Monaco

4.78

Win to Nil

5%

Lorient

20.72

10%

Monaco

10.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 6.0 5.6 3.6 1.7 0.6
1 4.9 9.3 8.8 5.6 2.6 1.0
2 3.8 7.3 6.9 4.4 2.1 0.8
3 2.0 3.8 3.6 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.565
λ Away (xG) 1.896
Total xG 3.461
League avg home goals 1.710
League avg away goals 1.218
Lorient attack strength 1.005
Lorient defence strength 1.536
Monaco attack strength 1.014
Monaco defence strength 0.911
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 39