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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lorient Win
73%
1.38
14%
6.91
13%
7.81
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.1%
Home win
Most likely
3 – 1
8.0%
Home win
2 – 0
6.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.99
Lorient xG
Total xG
4.23
1.24
Metz xG
LorientDrawMetz
1.38
73%
Home win
6.91
14%
Draw
7.81
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
92%
Over 1.5
1.09
8%
Under 1.5
12.50
79%
Over 2.5
1.27
21%
Under 2.5
4.76
61%
Over 3.5
1.64
39%
Under 3.5
2.56
42%
Over 4.5
2.38
58%
Under 4.5
1.72
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
68%
BTTS Yes
1.48
32%
BTTS No
3.08
Clean Sheet
29%
3.46
5%
19.87
Win to Nil
21%
4.76
1%
155.20
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 4.3 | 5.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 8.1 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.989
λ Away (xG)
1.241
Total xG
4.230
League avg home goals
1.549
League avg away goals
1.199
Lorient attack strength
1.094
Lorient defence strength
1.130
Metz attack strength
0.916
Metz defence strength
1.763
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
16 / 16