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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

43%

Lorient

2.30

23%

Draw

4.28

33%

Lyon

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.17

1.47

Lyon xG

43%
23%
33%
LorientDrawLyon

2.30

43%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

23%

Lorient

4.33

18%

Lyon

5.50

Win to Nil

10%

Lorient

9.98

6%

Lyon

16.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 6.2 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.2 10.5 7.7 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.9 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 3.5 5.1 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.705
λ Away (xG) 1.466
Total xG 3.171
League avg home goals 1.632
League avg away goals 1.141
Lorient attack strength 1.148
Lorient defence strength 1.295
Lyon attack strength 0.992
Lyon defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 48