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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

27%

Lorient

3.65

23%

Draw

4.43

50%

Lens

2.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.20

1.87

Lens xG

27%
23%
50%
LorientDrawLens

3.65

27%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

2.00

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

15%

Lorient

6.46

26%

Lens

3.78

Win to Nil

4%

Lorient

23.60

13%

Lens

7.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.6 7.1 4.4 2.1 0.8
1 5.4 10.2 9.5 5.9 2.7 1.0
2 3.6 6.8 6.3 3.9 1.8 0.7
3 1.6 3.0 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.331
λ Away (xG) 1.866
Total xG 3.197
League avg home goals 1.423
League avg away goals 1.180
Lorient attack strength 1.094
Lorient defence strength 1.148
Lens attack strength 1.377
Lens defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 59