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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

53%

Lille

1.89

24%

Draw

4.19

23%

Strasbourg

4.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Lille xG

Total xG

2.76

1.05

Strasbourg xG

53%
24%
23%
LilleDrawStrasbourg

1.89

53%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

4.33

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

35%

Lille

2.85

18%

Strasbourg

5.56

Win to Nil

19%

Lille

5.38

4%

Strasbourg

24.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 11.3 5.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.7 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.3 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.715
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.763
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.286
Lille attack strength 1.082
Lille defence strength 0.873
Strasbourg attack strength 0.934
Strasbourg defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52