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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

20:05

Venue

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

69%

Lille

1.45

21%

Draw

4.87

10%

Saint Etienne

9.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.37

Lille xG

Total xG

3.25

0.88

Saint Etienne xG

69%
21%
LilleDrawSaint Etienne

1.45

69%

Home win

4.87

21%

Draw

9.59

10%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

42%

Lille

2.40

9%

Saint Etienne

10.73

Win to Nil

29%

Lille

3.48

1%

Saint Etienne

102.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 9.2 8.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
2 10.9 9.6 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.7 7.6 3.3 1.0 0.2
4 5.1 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
5 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.373
λ Away (xG) 0.875
Total xG 3.248
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.311
Lille attack strength 1.077
Lille defence strength 0.906
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.737
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.472
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19