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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 3 Jan 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

68%

Lille

1.47

18%

Draw

5.46

14%

Rennes

7.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.28

Lille xG

Total xG

3.19

0.92

Rennes xG

68%
18%
14%
LilleDrawRennes

1.47

68%

Home win

5.46

18%

Draw

7.33

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

40%

Lille

2.50

10%

Rennes

9.76

Win to Nil

27%

Lille

3.67

1%

Rennes

71.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.4 8.6 3.9 1.2 0.3
2 10.7 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.1 7.4 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 4.6 4.2 1.9 0.6 0.1
5 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.278
λ Away (xG) 0.915
Total xG 3.193
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.177
Lille attack strength 1.200
Lille defence strength 0.818
Rennes attack strength 0.950
Rennes defence strength 1.189
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50