Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

55%

Lille

1.82

24%

Draw

4.11

21%

Nice

4.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Lille xG

Total xG

2.90

1.06

Nice xG

55%
24%
21%
LilleDrawNice

1.82

55%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.82

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

35%

Lille

2.88

16%

Nice

6.31

Win to Nil

19%

Lille

5.25

3%

Nice

30.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.1 10.7 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.842
λ Away (xG) 1.059
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.474
League avg away goals 1.199
Lille attack strength 1.032
Lille defence strength 0.913
Nice attack strength 0.968
Nice defence strength 1.211
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63