Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

46%

Lille

2.15

25%

Draw

4.07

29%

Nantes

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Lille xG

Total xG

2.83

1.22

Nantes xG

46%
25%
29%
LilleDrawNantes

2.15

46%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

30%

Lille

3.39

20%

Nantes

5.01

Win to Nil

14%

Lille

7.29

6%

Nantes

17.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.2 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 9.5 11.6 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.3 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 5.0 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.611
λ Away (xG) 1.220
Total xG 2.831
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.180
Lille attack strength 0.952
Lille defence strength 1.113
Nantes attack strength 0.929
Nantes defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57