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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

52%

Lille

1.91

24%

Draw

4.21

24%

Monaco

4.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Lille xG

Total xG

2.82

1.09

Monaco xG

52%
24%
24%
LilleDrawMonaco

1.91

52%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

4.17

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

34%

Lille

2.98

18%

Monaco

5.64

Win to Nil

18%

Lille

5.71

4%

Monaco

23.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.3 11.2 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.1 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.730
λ Away (xG) 1.093
Total xG 2.823
League avg home goals 1.570
League avg away goals 1.125
Lille attack strength 1.048
Lille defence strength 0.956
Monaco attack strength 1.016
Monaco defence strength 1.051
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35