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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

16:00

Venue

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

48%

Lille

2.09

26%

Draw

3.90

27%

Monaco

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Lille xG

Total xG

3.14

1.32

Monaco xG

48%
26%
27%
LilleDrawMonaco

2.09

48%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

27%

Lille

3.74

16%

Monaco

6.16

Win to Nil

13%

Lille

7.82

4%

Monaco

23.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 7.9 10.4 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.3 5.7 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.818
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 3.137
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.333
Lille attack strength 1.095
Lille defence strength 0.971
Monaco attack strength 1.019
Monaco defence strength 1.096
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56