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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lille Win
38%
2.61
24%
4.14
38%
2.66
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.4%
Home win
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.53
Lille xG
Total xG
3.04
1.51
Marseille xG
LilleDrawMarseille
2.61
38%
Home win
4.14
24%
Draw
2.66
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.56
Clean Sheet
22%
4.52
22%
4.60
Win to Nil
8%
11.80
8%
12.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 7.2 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 11.1 | 8.3 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.527
λ Away (xG)
1.509
Total xG
3.036
League avg home goals
1.627
League avg away goals
1.194
Lille attack strength
1.229
Lille defence strength
0.897
Marseille attack strength
1.409
Marseille defence strength
0.763
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
48 / 48