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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

45%

Lille

2.22

26%

Draw

3.92

30%

Lorient

3.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Lille xG

Total xG

2.68

1.17

Lorient xG

45%
26%
30%
LilleDrawLorient

2.22

45%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

3.39

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

31%

Lille

3.23

22%

Lorient

4.52

Win to Nil

14%

Lille

7.17

7%

Lorient

15.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.0 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 12.1 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.1 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 4.6 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.509
λ Away (xG) 1.172
Total xG 2.681
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.174
Lille attack strength 0.941
Lille defence strength 1.031
Lorient attack strength 0.968
Lorient defence strength 1.103
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24