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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

29%

Lille

3.43

25%

Draw

3.99

46%

Lens

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Lille xG

Total xG

2.75

1.56

Lens xG

29%
25%
46%
LilleDrawLens

3.43

29%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

21%

Lille

4.75

30%

Lens

3.30

Win to Nil

6%

Lille

16.29

14%

Lens

7.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 9.9 7.7 4.0 1.6 0.5
1 7.6 11.9 9.2 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.5 7.1 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 1.8 2.8 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.194
λ Away (xG) 1.559
Total xG 2.753
League avg home goals 1.463
League avg away goals 1.244
Lille attack strength 0.908
Lille defence strength 0.994
Lens attack strength 1.262
Lens defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61