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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

43%

Lille

2.33

28%

Draw

3.58

29%

Lens

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Lille xG

Total xG

2.50

1.11

Lens xG

43%
28%
29%
LilleDrawLens

2.33

43%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

33%

Lille

3.02

25%

Lens

4.03

Win to Nil

14%

Lille

7.05

7%

Lens

13.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.1 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.4 12.7 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 8.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.1 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.394
λ Away (xG) 1.106
Total xG 2.500
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.428
Lille attack strength 1.069
Lille defence strength 0.852
Lens attack strength 0.909
Lens defence strength 0.863
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60