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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 5 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

38%

Lens

2.65

31%

Draw

3.20

31%

Toulouse

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Lens xG

Total xG

2.38

1.12

Toulouse xG

38%
31%
31%
LensDrawToulouse

2.65

38%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

33%

Lens

3.07

28%

Toulouse

3.53

Win to Nil

12%

Lens

8.12

9%

Toulouse

11.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 10.4 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 11.6 13.1 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 8.2 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.261
λ Away (xG) 1.121
Total xG 2.382
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.298
Lens attack strength 0.922
Lens defence strength 0.956
Toulouse attack strength 0.904
Toulouse defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49