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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

65%

Lens

1.54

18%

Draw

5.53

17%

Strasbourg

5.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

7.9%

Home win

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.44

Lens xG

Total xG

3.63

1.19

Strasbourg xG

65%
18%
17%
LensDrawStrasbourg

1.54

65%

Home win

5.53

18%

Draw

5.91

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

31%

Lens

3.27

9%

Strasbourg

11.51

Win to Nil

20%

Lens

5.03

1%

Strasbourg

68.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 6.5 7.7 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 7.9 9.4 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 6.5 7.7 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 3.9 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.443
λ Away (xG) 1.185
Total xG 3.628
League avg home goals 1.646
League avg away goals 1.236
Lens attack strength 1.180
Lens defence strength 0.809
Strasbourg attack strength 1.185
Strasbourg defence strength 1.258
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46