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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

38%

Lens

2.66

32%

Draw

3.15

31%

Strasbourg

3.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Lens xG

Total xG

2.50

1.18

Strasbourg xG

38%
32%
31%
LensDrawStrasbourg

2.66

38%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

3.26

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

31%

Lens

3.25

27%

Strasbourg

3.75

Win to Nil

12%

Lens

8.66

8%

Strasbourg

12.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 9.7 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.8 7.5 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 8.5 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.2 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.323
λ Away (xG) 1.179
Total xG 2.502
League avg home goals 1.554
League avg away goals 1.315
Lens attack strength 0.838
Lens defence strength 0.894
Strasbourg attack strength 1.003
Strasbourg defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55