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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

49%

Lens

2.06

26%

Draw

3.91

26%

Stade Brestois 29

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Lens xG

Total xG

2.58

1.04

Stade Brestois 29 xG

49%
26%
26%
LensDrawStade Brestois 29

2.06

49%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

35%

Lens

2.84

22%

Stade Brestois 29

4.63

Win to Nil

17%

Lens

5.84

6%

Stade Brestois 29

17.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.9 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.2 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.3 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.6 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.533
λ Away (xG) 1.043
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.554
League avg away goals 1.100
Lens attack strength 0.819
Lens defence strength 1.040
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.912
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.204
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36