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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

57%

Lens

1.76

23%

Draw

4.43

20%

Saint Etienne

4.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Lens xG

Total xG

2.94

1.05

Saint Etienne xG

57%
23%
20%
LensDrawSaint Etienne

1.76

57%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

4.88

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

35%

Lens

2.85

15%

Saint Etienne

6.64

Win to Nil

20%

Lens

5.01

3%

Saint Etienne

32.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 5.5 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.0 10.5 5.5 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.0 6.3 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 3.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.893
λ Away (xG) 1.048
Total xG 2.941
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.415
Lens attack strength 0.876
Lens defence strength 0.978
Saint Etienne attack strength 0.757
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.450
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 27