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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

16:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

66%

Lens

1.52

21%

Draw

4.68

13%

Rennes

7.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Lens xG

Total xG

2.54

0.67

Rennes xG

66%
21%
13%
LensDrawRennes

1.52

66%

Home win

4.68

21%

Draw

7.88

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

51%

Lens

1.96

15%

Rennes

6.47

Win to Nil

34%

Lens

2.97

2%

Rennes

50.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 14.8 9.9 3.3 0.7 0.1
2 13.8 9.2 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 8.6 5.8 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
5 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.867
λ Away (xG) 0.671
Total xG 2.538
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.250
Lens attack strength 1.029
Lens defence strength 0.615
Rennes attack strength 0.873
Rennes defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54