Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

29%

Lens

3.48

25%

Draw

3.98

46%

Rennes

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Lens xG

Total xG

3.00

1.70

Rennes xG

29%
25%
46%
LensDrawRennes

3.48

29%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

18%

Lens

5.46

27%

Rennes

3.67

Win to Nil

5%

Lens

19.00

13%

Rennes

7.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.5 7.2 4.1 1.7 0.6
1 6.5 11.0 9.3 5.3 2.2 0.8
2 4.2 7.2 6.1 3.4 1.5 0.5
3 1.8 3.1 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 1.698
Total xG 2.999
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.392
Lens attack strength 0.900
Lens defence strength 1.106
Rennes attack strength 1.102
Rennes defence strength 0.982
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59