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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

44%

Lens

2.28

30%

Draw

3.34

26%

Reims

3.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Lens xG

Total xG

2.04

0.85

Reims xG

44%
30%
26%
LensDrawReims

2.28

44%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

3.82

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.52

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

43%

Lens

2.33

30%

Reims

3.28

Win to Nil

19%

Lens

5.31

8%

Reims

12.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 11.1 4.7 1.3 0.3
1 15.5 13.1 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.2 7.8 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 3.7 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.189
λ Away (xG) 0.846
Total xG 2.035
League avg home goals 1.460
League avg away goals 1.401
Lens attack strength 0.833
Lens defence strength 0.913
Reims attack strength 0.662
Reims defence strength 0.978
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62