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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Wed 13 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

38%

Lens

2.64

27%

Draw

3.71

35%

Paris Saint Germain

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Lens xG

Total xG

2.87

1.41

Paris Saint Germain xG

38%
27%
35%
LensDrawParis Saint Germain

2.64

38%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

25%

Lens

4.08

23%

Paris Saint Germain

4.34

Win to Nil

9%

Lens

10.77

8%

Paris Saint Germain

12.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.9 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 8.3 11.7 8.2 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.6 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.0 4.2 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.467
λ Away (xG) 1.406
Total xG 2.873
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.294
Lens attack strength 1.280
Lens defence strength 0.813
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.336
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.772
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66