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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

21%

Lens

4.70

26%

Draw

3.79

52%

Paris Saint Germain

1.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Lens xG

Total xG

2.78

1.74

Paris Saint Germain xG

21%
26%
52%
LensDrawParis Saint Germain

4.70

21%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

1.91

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

18%

Lens

5.69

35%

Paris Saint Germain

2.83

Win to Nil

4%

Lens

26.75

18%

Paris Saint Germain

5.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 10.8 9.4 5.4 2.4 0.8
1 6.5 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.4 5.9 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.4
3 1.2 2.0 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.042
λ Away (xG) 1.739
Total xG 2.781
League avg home goals 1.556
League avg away goals 1.311
Lens attack strength 0.831
Lens defence strength 0.947
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.400
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.806
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51