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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

59%

Lens

1.69

22%

Draw

4.54

19%

Paris FC

5.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Lens xG

Total xG

2.87

0.97

Paris FC xG

59%
22%
19%
LensDrawParis FC

1.69

59%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

5.32

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

38%

Lens

2.63

15%

Paris FC

6.69

Win to Nil

22%

Lens

4.45

3%

Paris FC

35.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.8 10.4 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.5 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.2
4 3.1 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.900
λ Away (xG) 0.968
Total xG 2.868
League avg home goals 1.700
League avg away goals 1.255
Lens attack strength 1.045
Lens defence strength 0.831
Paris FC attack strength 0.929
Paris FC defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 7