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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

65%

Lens

1.54

20%

Draw

5.02

15%

Nice

6.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Lens xG

Total xG

3.00

0.90

Nice xG

65%
20%
15%
LensDrawNice

1.54

65%

Home win

5.02

20%

Draw

6.61

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

41%

Lens

2.46

12%

Nice

8.13

Win to Nil

26%

Lens

3.79

2%

Nice

53.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.5 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.5 9.4 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.7 6.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.0 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.096
λ Away (xG) 0.900
Total xG 2.996
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.147
Lens attack strength 1.099
Lens defence strength 0.779
Nice attack strength 1.008
Nice defence strength 1.156
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49